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52º
High
74°
Low
49°
Wind
3 MPH

45 Inches Up Top in the Past Week, More Possible Tonight /

Submitted by ba March 5, 2014 - 8:57am Weather

Another 8 inches of snow fell Monday night bringing the 6 day totals to 45 inches at High Camp.

The winds will start to pick up today on the mountain with ridge gusts near 40 mph.  They will be even stronger going into Thursday with the system moving through.  The heaviest precip associated with the cold front will move through between 10 p.m. and 4 a.m. tonight  Then scattered shower could linger into Thursday afternoon.  The snow leves start around 9000 ft. as the cold front approaches and the heavier precip starts.  They fall to around 7000 ft. by the time the front moves through by Thursday morning.  How fast they fall vs. how fast the band of precip moves through is the question.  It looks like we could see 4-8 above 8000 ft and 1-4 inches down to 7000 ft. by Thursday morning.  

A ridge builds along the West Coast Friday into Saturday with sunny and mild weather.  The next system moves in Sunday.  The strongest part of the storm stays to our North and the system weakens at it encounters the ridge.  We should still see some light precip Sunday into Sunday night.  The snow levels start out above 8000 ft. Sunday, but they may fall down near 7000 ft. by Sunday night.  Above 8000 ft. we could see 3-6 of snow through Sunday night with 1-3 inches down to 7000 ft.  

The forecast models are suggesting that a weaker but colder wave of precip could move through Monday night bringing some light snowfall before the ridge builds along the West Coast starting Tuesday.  The Eastern Pacific trough will shift further West out towards the dateline and a ridge will build along the West Coast with dry and mild weather starting next Tuesday and lasting 5-6 days.  

Over the past 24 hours the long-range ensemble runs of the models have come into better agreement that the ridge along the West Coast will retrograde West away from the Coast.  Some model runs have it moving up over Alaska, some into the Gulf of Alaska, and some further Northwest towards the Aleutians.  All of those scenarios would bring a much colder pattern starting around the 16th-18th of March.  If this shift happens where the ridge sets up would determine if we get mainly colder air with dry systems dropping down over land from the North or they drop down the coast with more precip.  This is similar to the pattern we saw in December.  Still in the fantasy range but something to watch.

Stay tuned...BA

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